Christine Hudnall

Yes, I know, nobody ever said it was, but it should be, darnit!

Early this morning, I published my vote on landfall for TS Edouard - and then about 2-3 minutes later, I changed it, and republished the new sites. Can I just say - this sucks! I had published the correct area the first time!

I was trying to get some sympathy from a ex-friend of mine, telling her what had happened and even though some of her words were sympathetic, her laughter betrayed her. With her permission, here is our conversation to show that who needs enemies, when your friends will do the trick! :P

Click on image link above to be taken to conversation

In all seriousness though - yes, she is still my friend, and yes, she will continue to laugh at me, and yes, I will continue to screw up! The ironic part of the story though is, normally when I make changes I do so in a new tab, in case of problems, and usually leave those tabs open for a little while, but this time, of all times, I shut down computer to give harddrive a little break from running my weather programs all the time.

Doesn’t it just figure!

That’s my sob story, and I’m sticking to it!

:P

Good Morning!

I know, I said I would give my vote as to landfall last night, well, I didn’t. But, I’m giving it now - between Orange and Port Arthur in Texas. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it. Unless I change my mind. :D

I also thought while I have you captive captivated, I would just talk a little bit about tropical cyclones in general.

Do you know what the job of a tropical cyclone is? Yup, it has a job, a real honest to goodness purpose, nooo, it is not to displace people from their homes or worse. The job of a tropical cyclone is actually a very simple one.

To regulate the earth’s temperature.

That is it. Pure and simple.

Don’t want simple, okay, basically tropical cyclones are the air and heating system of earth. Their job is to pick up heat from the oceans and transfer it over to the upper level winds in the upper atmosphere, which in turn carries it the north and south poles. But why is that good thing? Well, by regulating the temperature, they keep the tropics from getting too hot and the poles from getting too cold.

Think about that for a moment though. Just imagine if we were to try and stop tropical cyclones, one way or another, then not only would be be screwing up the tropics, but the entire world.

But what would happen if we did it anyways and the ocean temperatures rose near the tropics? Well, in order for tropical cyclones to form, ocean temperatures must be at least 80° F for a depth of at least 150 feet. So it is highly possible and probable that because temperatures would become higher due to tropical cyclone meddling, which in turn could produce even more cyclones and more intense cyclones, among other things.

Now, don’t get me wrong, I hate to see anyone get hurt or have to deal with them, lord knows, I’ve been down that road myself - but they are better than the alternative.

So, with that in mind, here is the 5AM EDT update. ;)

AT 400 AM CDT…0900Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES… 80 KM…SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS AND ABOUT 85 MILES
…135 KM…EAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR
…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR
OVER THE UPPER TEXAS OR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS BY MIDDAY
TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL
AND EDOUARD COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BY THE TIME ITS
CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 997 MB…29.44 INCHES.

EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES IN SOME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTAL PARISHES AND
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

So, there you have it… stay safe and to my family out there - let me know if ya need a bucket to bail with or an inflatible raft. ;-) We love ya!